Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011522 0.014011 0.017157 0.021529 0.027624 0.036110 0.049400
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008383 0.011072 0.014923 0.021158 0.031713 0.050541 0.092015
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006524 0.009010 0.012826 0.019591 0.032574 0.060255 0.141685
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005437 0.007755 0.011503 0.018629 0.033783 0.071660 0.222071
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004795 0.007039 0.010839 0.018552 0.036698 0.090451 0.402914
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004389 0.006620 0.010569 0.019123 0.041486 0.121932 0.933268
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004006 0.006171 0.010140 0.019202 0.045121 0.156971 2.439679
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003601 0.005623 0.009415 0.018383 0.045685 0.180752 6.035196
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003308 0.005237 0.008942 0.018035 0.047661 0.219691 32.062672
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003168 0.005114 0.008979 0.018986 0.055109 0.329681 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003089 0.005093 0.009223 0.020592 0.067029 0.583836 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003011 0.005063 0.009441 0.022228 0.081550 1.155069 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002805 0.004781 0.009094 0.022218 0.089055 1.979406 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002601 0.004480 0.008662 0.021831 0.094596 3.442956 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002361 0.004081 0.007932 0.020195 0.089812 3.961939 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002179 0.003787 0.007420 0.019192 0.088961 5.541779 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002060 0.003612 0.007182 0.019111 0.095688 13.586571 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.003516 0.007126 0.019707 0.110090 128.771553 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001889 0.003383 0.006953 0.019789 0.120508 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001772 0.003184 0.006579 0.018936 0.119385 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001682 0.003039 0.006336 0.018573 0.124074 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001645 0.003009 0.006398 0.019564 0.150481 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001628 0.003022 0.006585 0.021240 0.198302 NaN NaN